Is There A Roulette System That Works
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There’s so much vehemence online about the World Best Roulette System from Michael Davis that it’s difficult to review it without prejudice…
There is an obvious flaw to this system, however, in that if you were to lose the 5th bet, you are suddenly €31, the next bet is €32 which would result in a loss of €63. Although the chances of losing 6 even bets in a row are slim, there is a possibility and if you find yourself at the end of your bankroll, you can face a substantial loss. (And if you find a system that works like the FAST Roulette System, you can bet your bottom dollar that is was adapted from mine!). Most other systems out there are highly.
But even if the web was as devoid of information about the system as my bankroll was at the end of my testing, just one look at his exercise-in-hyperbole-website was enough to send my scam-detector into overdrive.
A lot of work has gone into the website for World Best Roulette System. It tells you everything you want to hear (and bleats on and on about how scammers tell you everything you want to hear). There’s a link to a long piece of writing about how to defeat scammers, and listing the tricks they use to tempt you to buy.
One such ‘trick’ that Mr Davis cites is the lure of free bonus items when you buy the main system. This is not really a trick, but a tried-and-tested sales method that has been around since Adam was a lad. But get this: even if it was a trick, Davis goes on to offer you 3 free bonus items when you buy the system.
There’s more (so much more) piffle spouted in his excruciatingly long FAQs section. Seriously, it’s more of a weighty tome than War and Peace. I wouldn’t mind if it was an informative FAQ section that didn’t reek of wool: wool being pulled over your eyes and wool that provides the coat for this wolf in sheep’s clothing.
The World Best Roulette system ‘that shocked the casino world’ (must have been on holiday when that piece of news broke) is a software-based system that gives a winning rate of 94.6% using flat bets (which, to be fair makes a refreshing change from the Martingale, progressive staking systems [which Davis dismisses as all being out-right scams]). The system is based on artificial neural networks (ANN). Davis supposedly adapted an ANN to beat the casinos’ rapid-number-generator software.
Is There A Roulette System That Works Against
For $497 you get the software for three months, ONLY to be used in the 24kt Gold Casino and with a maximum of 5000 spins per month. Three months later you can pay $1003 to carry on at same casino or $1500 to use a different casino with different software. I always disregard systems that only work at specific casinos for all the reasons that Davis mentions himself in his FAQ section: ‘I am not waiting for commissions from your losses – like the scammers do.’
Payment is through Liberty Reserves, which is an online payment company that I’m not familiar with (but makes me think: ‘Why not Paypal?’ [too much protection for buyers?]). This complicated payment scheme was enough to put me off, as was the convoluted and condition-based money-back guarantee:
‘I give you a comprehensive 30-day money-back guarantee, but you must supply proof. It’s very simple. You play with my program in Real Money mode. If you encounter a losing bet you make some screenshots of the entire screen and send them to me. Please provide your proof of purchase as I’m not willing to send a refund to a person who has never bought my roulette system. Also I’m sure of the good results of my roulette system. That’s why please send me the required screenshot using WBRS program. Also no catches like “I don’t know how to send a screenshot”. Read more below to find out how to send a screenshot.’
There are negative testimonials out there that show many refund claims being ignored and dishonoured, even when they’ve jumped through Davis’ hoops. One punter writes: ‘Davis refused a refund. He was rude, arrogant, dismissive and obnoxious.’
This is despite his own warning that other scammers out there will offer you a no-quibble money-back guarantee, but they’ll never reply to your emails. Looks like he learnt from the best…
One seemingly redeeming feature of World Best Roulette System is the option to test the software for free in a trial version to be used in the casino’s ‘fun’ mode. His system, of course, works perfectly, but in ‘real’ play the same system reduced my bankroll more rapidly than a hummingbird’s wing-beats.
A little research suggests that the ‘play for fun mode is nothing but a long list of pre set numbers: that is why you can play without an Internet connection’. I can’t help but feel that the system works so well in this casino’s fun mode, because the system’s author has studied the non-random results over long periods of time. Hence why he advocates the use of the software at a specific casino.
Other online reviewers say it more succinctly than my long winded rant: ‘Really this is malicious and blatant fraud’.
The Labouchère system, also called the cancellation system or split martingale, is a gambling strategy used in roulette. The user of such a strategy decides before playing how much money they want to win, and writes down a list of positive numbers that sum to the predetermined amount. With each bet, the player stakes an amount equal to the sum of the first and last numbers on the list. If only one number remains, that number is the amount of the stake. If the bet is successful, the two amounts are removed from the list. If the bet is unsuccessful, the amount lost is appended to the end of the list. This process continues until either the list is completely crossed out, at which point the desired amount of money has been won, or until the player runs out of money to wager.[1]
Description of the gameplay[edit]
The theory behind this Labouchère system is that, because the player is crossing two numbers off of the list (win) for every number added (loss) the player can complete the list, (crossing out all numbers) thereby winning the desired amount even though the player does not need to win as much as expected for this to occur.
It should be mentioned that the Labouchère System is meant to be applied to even money Roulette propositions such as Even/Odd, Red/Black or 1–18/19–36. When any of these bets are made in the game of Roulette, a spin resulting in a '0' or '00' results in a loss, so even though the payout is even money, the odds are clearly not 50/50. The Labouchère System attempts to offset these odds.
If a player were to play any one of the above propositions, there are eighteen individual results which result in a win for that player and (for an American Roulette wheel) twenty individual results that result in a loss for that player. The player has an 18/38 chance of success betting any of the above propositions, which is around 47.37%.
Theoretically, because the player is cancelling out two numbers on the list for every win and adding only one number for every loss, the player needs to have his proposition come at least 33.34% to eventually complete the list. For example, if the list starts with seven numbers and the player wins five times and loses three (62.5% winning percentage) the list is completed and the player wins the desired amount, if the list starts with seven numbers and the player wins 43,600 times and loses 87,193 times (33.34% winning percentage) the list completes and the player wins.
Is There A Roulette System That Works Online
A formula to understand this is as follows:
When
The result is the list being completed.
Assuming a player bets nothing but black (red/black proposition) and black can be expected to hit 47.37% of the time, but the system only requires that it hit 33.34% of the time, it can be said that black only need hit approximately 70.38% of the time (33.34/47.37) it can generally be expected to in order for the system to prevail.
An obvious downfall to the system is bankroll, because the more losses sustained by the player, the greater the amount being bet on each turn (as well as the greater the amount lost overall) is. Consider the following list:
10102020201010
If a player were to bet black and lose four times in a row, the amounts bet would be: $20, $30, $40, and $50. By taking these four consecutive losses, the player has already lost $140 and is betting $60 more on the next bet. Consecutive losses, or an inordinate number of losses to wins can also cause table limits to come into play.
Occasionally, a player following this system will come to a point where he can no longer make the next bet as demanded by the system due to table limits. One work-around for this problem is simply to move to a higher limit table, or a player can take the next number that should be bet, divide it by two and simply add it to the list twice. The problem with the latter option is that every time a player commits such a play, it will infinitesimally increase the percentage of spins a player must win to complete the system. The reason this is so is because the player is adding two numbers (which both will be crossed out in the event of wins) where only one loss was sustained.
To prove this, if a player were to play the Labouchère system the same way with the exception being that the player always added half of the wager lost to the bottom of the list twice for every wager lost where:
When:
The result is the list being completed.
The player would actually have to win in excess of 50% of the time (the actual percentage of wins necessary, given x and y, being dependent on z) in order to complete the list, or more than the player could actually be expected to win.
Algorithm[edit]
The algorithm for the Labouchère system can be considered a Las Vegas algorithm since the amount of money a player desires to win will always be a predetermined amount. However, there is no guarantee that the player will reach the desired goal before the bankroll is lost. This is referred to as risk of ruin. For instance, consider the recursive implementation of a round of Labouchère betting in Python.
The recursion of the algorithm terminates when the sequence is empty or when the player possesses insufficient funds to continue betting. When the function is called, the size of the bet made is equal to the sum of the first and last numbers of the sequence. If the length of the sequence is one, then the bet is equal to the sole member of the sequence. If the bet is won, then the first and last members are spliced from the sequence and the next round begins. However, if the bet results in a loss, then an integer equal the size of the lost bet is appended to the sequence and the next round begins. As determined by the parameters for termination of recursion, the only cases in which the algorithm will terminate are those in which the player has either won an amount equal to the summation of the original sequence or has lost all of their available capital. [2]
Reverse Labouchère[edit]
The Labouchère system can also be played as a positive progression betting system; this is known as playing the reverse Labouchère. In this version after a win, instead of deleting numbers from the line, the player adds the previous bet amount to the end of the line. You continue building up your Labouchère line until you hit the table maximum. After a loss, the player deletes the outside numbers and continues working on the shorter line. The player starts their line again if they run out of numbers to bet.
The Reverse Labouchère system is often used because where the Labouchère list represents how much the player wants to win, a reverse Labouchère line represents the most that the player will lose during the betting cycle. It is with this that a player with a bankroll of x can create their own line, or lines, representative of the maximum amount that they can sustain in losses.
Additionally, a player does not necessarily have to continue the system until the table limit is met or exceeded, but could instead pick a single bet that the player does not wish to exceed and make that bet their own personal limit.
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Unlike the Labouchère system which (when adhered to strictly) requires a winning percentage of at least 33.34% to complete, the winning percentage needed to complete a Reverse Labouchère line is going to be dependent on both the table limit (or the maximum single bet a player is willing to make) as well as the numbers on the initial line in relation to the table limit.
For example, if a table had a limit of $500 and a player composed a Reverse Labouchère line as follows:
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50, 50, 50, 50, 50
Nine consecutive wins (100, 150, 200, 250, 300, 350, 400, 450, 500) would cause the next bet in the system to exceed the table limit, and thus the line would be completed with a player profit of $2,700.
In contrast, if a player composed a Reverse Labouchère line such as:
25, 25, 25, 25, 25
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Nineteen consecutive wins (50, 75, 100, 125, 150, 175, 200, 225, 250, 275, 300, 325, 350, 375, 400, 425, 450, 475, 500) would cause the next bet in the system to exceed the table limit, thus the line would be completed with a player profit of $5,225.
The length of the line in the Reverse Labouchère system is also important as it relates to the percentage of wins necessary to complete the system. For example, if a line of:
50, 50, 50, 50, 50
suffers three consecutive losses as soon as the system begins, then the line is completed and a new line must be started, or the player may choose to quit.
In contrast, if a line of:
50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50
suffers three consecutive losses, then there are still six numbers remaining on the list. In the line immediately above, it would take an opening streak of six consecutive losses for the line to be completed.
All other things remaining the same, the longer a player's line, the more the player is risking losing. However, the longer the player's line, the better winning percentage the casino need have in order to break the player's line.
Advocates of this system point out that when a player uses the Labouchère System, where a streak in the casino's favor, or many mini-streaks in the casino's favor, will cause the player to sustain a huge loss, a single streak, or a few streaks in the player's favor using the Reverse Labouchère system will cause the player to have a huge gain.
A formula that can be used to determine how this system could fail is as follows:
Where:
When:
The system has failed, and all numbers on the line are crossed completely out.
Given an infinite line, the Labouchère System when played by the player requires a winning percentage of at least 33.34% to complete. In contrast, for the Reverse Labouchère to fail requires only that the player lose 33.34% of the time.
Once again, the winning percentage necessary for the system completing to success depends upon a number of variables.
References[edit]
- ^Burrell, Brian. Merriam-Webster's Guide to Everyday Math. Merriam-Webster.
- ^Billings, Jake; Del Barco, Sebastian (2017). 'An Investigation into Labouchère's Betting System to Improve Odds of Favorable Outcomes to Generate a Positive Externality Empirically'. arXiv:1707.00529 [q-fin.GN].
- Tijms, Henk (2004). 'Probabilities in everyday life'. Understanding probability: chance rules in everyday life. Cambridge University Press. pp. 91–93. ISBN0-521-54036-4.